Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.141080 0.151728 0.162902 0.175525 0.189412 0.204254 0.221354
2025-10-12 0.125357 0.141745 0.160074 0.182211 0.208374 0.238498 0.276080
2025-10-19 0.111551 0.130913 0.153632 0.182520 0.218649 0.262845 0.321786
2025-10-26 0.101368 0.122505 0.148273 0.182438 0.227221 0.284890 0.366400
2025-11-02 0.092653 0.114667 0.142352 0.180356 0.232184 0.301940 0.405701
2025-11-09 0.084240 0.106275 0.134698 0.174847 0.231442 0.310527 0.433487
2025-11-16 0.077903 0.099974 0.129098 0.171317 0.232663 0.321431 0.465351
2025-11-23 0.072618 0.094622 0.124252 0.168222 0.233909 0.332082 0.497657
2025-11-30 0.069551 0.092025 0.122916 0.169866 0.242045 0.353633 0.549901
2025-12-07 0.064810 0.086758 0.117403 0.164847 0.239432 0.357855 0.573260
2025-12-14 0.059843 0.080873 0.110614 0.157364 0.232229 0.353780 0.581257
2025-12-21 0.056791 0.077567 0.107373 0.155032 0.232974 0.362800 0.613925
2025-12-28 0.055621 0.076999 0.108236 0.159295 0.245109 0.392933 0.691763
2026-01-04 0.054072 0.075788 0.108065 0.161916 0.254783 0.419976 0.768539
2026-01-11 0.051845 0.073427 0.105966 0.161208 0.258599 0.436725 0.827026
2026-01-18 0.049878 0.071352 0.104174 0.160849 0.262942 0.454877 0.891665
2026-01-25 0.047739 0.068893 0.101622 0.158987 0.264336 0.467365 0.945698
2026-02-01 0.045160 0.065621 0.097580 0.154264 0.259968 0.467781 0.971370
2026-02-08 0.043111 0.063096 0.094623 0.151244 0.258557 0.474069 1.012445
2026-02-15 0.041278 0.060832 0.091979 0.148597 0.257620 0.481193 1.056891
2026-02-22 0.040342 0.059968 0.091608 0.150001 0.264722 0.506350 1.153431
2026-03-01 0.038416 0.057407 0.088251 0.145711 0.260013 0.504821 1.176929
2026-03-08 0.036219 0.054324 0.083880 0.139305 0.250526 0.491571 1.165185